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We will break down the timeline, possible scenarios, and NC impacts tonight on WRAL News at 6, 10, and 11. Notice there has been a change in the forecast track, mirroring what the European Model is... Notice there has been a change in the forecast track, mirroring what the European Model is showing plus the latest Global and Hurricane Models. This is likely to change with any change in the track.

The 5 PM Dorian advisory is in and Dorian remains a powerful category 4 hurricane slowly tracking west at 8 mph. Hurricane Dorian could potentially make landfall in Georgia or South Carolina on Thursday. Here's a first look at Rain Potential from Dorian for the period ending at 11PM next Thursday. On it's current track, Dorian would bring the heaviest rains to the coast....

We will break down the timeline, possible scenarios, and NC impacts tonight on WRAL News at 6, 10, and 11.

The latest forecast track shows Dorian starting its turn to the north early Monday and nearing the NC coast as a category 2 hurricane Thursday. It is forecast to get close to CAT5 status tomorrow. It is forecast to get close to CAT5 status tomorrow. There is never a good time for a hurricane, but the latest models from NOAA's National Hurricane Center point to Dorian arriving at an even less convenient time, near a perigean new moon." style="float: right;"Here's a first look at Rain Potential from Dorian for the period ending at 11PM next Thursday. On it's current track, Dorian would bring the heaviest rains to the coast....

The center of the storm can fall anywhere within the cone so don't focus too much on the line. Notice there has been a change in the forecast track, mirroring what the European Model is... Notice there has been a change in the forecast track, mirroring what the European Model is showing plus the latest Global and Hurricane Models. Read More Here's a first look at Rain Potential from Dorian for the period ending at 11PM next Thursday. On it's current track, Dorian would bring the heaviest rains to the coast.

A lot of the models today have shown the storm riding very close to the coast but never making landfall in Florida or the Carolinas. It is forecast to get close to CAT5 status tomorrow. It is forecast to get close to CAT5 status tomorrow. This is likely to change with any change in the track.

It's too early to make a definitive call on how we will be impacted by Dorian, but we... Dorian is now forecasted to become a category 4 hurricane by Sunday and is forecasted to make landfall in Florida as a category 4 hurricane on Monday. Read More Temperatures are running a few degrees cooler this morning in our western counties.

Temperatures are running a few degrees cooler this morning in our western counties.

Bottom line is that it is becoming increasingly likely that NC will be impacted by Hurricane Dorian next week. Here's the latest forecast track and intensity from the NHC. It is forecast to be an even stronger CAT4 storm down the road with top winds of 140mph.

Here is the 11 AM update from the National Hurricane Center. Read More Here is the 11 AM update from the National Hurricane Center. Hurricane Dorian could potentially make landfall in Georgia or South Carolina on Thursday. Here's a model comparison between the National Hurricane Center(NHC), the American model(GFS) and the European model(EURO).

A lot of the models today have shown the storm riding very close to the coast but never making landfall in Florida or the Carolinas. On this path, the worst winds would be at the coast. Here's a first look at Wind Potential for Thursday of next week from the European Model. I wanted to give you an idea that there is possible impact from Dorian next week...

These same models still show hurricane force winds, dangerous storm surge and over 10" of rain along the NC coast. Hurricane Dorian could potentially make landfall in Georgia or South Carolina on Thursday. Read More Here's a first look at Wind Potential for Thursday of next week from the European Model. I wanted to give you an idea that there is possible impact from Dorian next week and if it takes this route, here's the gust potential Thursday evening.

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